Trade Tariffs

S&P 500 futures rose 0.5% after Lutnick said trade talks with China are going well

  • Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said trade talks with China are going on well.

    “(Talks went on) all day yesterday, and I expect (them) all day today,” Lutnick told reporters. “They’re going well, and we’re spending lots of time together.”

  • S&P 500 futures rose 0.5% while Nasdaq composite gained 0.6% following the report.

US and China trade representatives reached an agreement to keep trade talks back on track

  • US and China trade representatives said they reached an agreement on how to keep trade talks back on track and will now seek approval from Trump and Xi.

    “We have reached a framework to implement the Geneva consensus and the call between the two presidents,” U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick told reporters.

  • Restrictions on rare-earth exports to the US and exports of advanced tech to China were the major points of contentions.

Trump said trade deal with China is done, subject to Xi’s approval

  • Trump said trade deal with China is done, subject to Xi’s approval and that US is getting 55% while China is getting 10%.

  • Citing the White House, Bloomberg said the 55% tariff on China includes a 10% baseline duty, a 20% charge tied to fentanyl trafficking and roughly 25% preexisting tariff.

  • US and China trade representatives agreed yesterday to revive the terms of a deal entered in Geneva last month that included a 90-day pause on the high tariffs that the two nations had imposed on each other.

  • It’s unclear whether the 90-day pause still holds.

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  • Lutnick said tariffs on China won’t change again from current levels.
  • However, China is putting a sixth-month limit on rare-earth metal export licenses, giving it leverage should trade tensions flare up again.

Trump opens to extending deadline for nations to cut trade deals with the US, said he will send letters to them in two to three weeks setting unilateral tariff rate

  • Trump said he will be sending letters to trading partners in the next two to three weeks setting the unilateral trade tariff rate.

    “At a certain point, we’re just going to send letters out. And I think you understand that, saying this is the deal, you can take it or leave it,” Trump told reporters.

  • It’s unclear whether Trump will follow through with his pledge since he previously said so only for the tariffs to come later or not at all.

  • He said he would be open to extending deadline for trade partners to cut deals with his administration.

  • Trump’s 90-day pause (announced on April 19) on reciprocal tariffs is set to end in less than a month.

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Lutnick said trade negotiations with the EU is still progressing slowly

  • Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said trade deal with the EU is likely to be among the last deals that the administration completes.

  • He said negotiations with the EU intensified after Trump threatened a 50% tariff-which he delayed until July 9 to allow negotiations to continue but are still progressing slower than others.

    “I’m optimistic that we can get there with Europe. But Europe will be probably the very, very end,” Lutnick said on CNBC.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-11/eu-likely-to-be-at-very-end-of-us-trade-deals-lutnick-says?sref=rChPnUxs

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Trump touts increasing tariffs on automakers to speed up US investments

“I might go up with that tariff in the not too distant future,” Trump said at a White House event. “The higher you go, the more likely it is they build a plant here.”

A 25% tariff on autos is currently in place, but there’s relief for automakers who carry out final assembly in the US.

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EU officials are increasingly resigned to a 10% baseline US tariff

  • EU officials are increasingly accepting that the US tariff is unlikely to go below 10%, Reuters reported citing EU officials.
  • US hit Europe with a 25% levy on cars and a 50% tariff on steel and aluminium and Trump threatened to increase tariffs to 50% across the board if a deal is not reached by July 9.
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China and US have finalized the Geneva-origin trade framework that led to the reduction of tariffs on China to 55%

  • China and US have finalized the Geneva-origin trade framework that led to the reduction of tariffs on China to 55%.
  • China will fast-track license approvals for export-controlled goods (notably rare-earth inputs), while the U.S. will scrap “a series of restrictive measures” once exports resume.
  • The framework was about to fall apart after both sides blamed each other for violating the agreement.
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DAX rose 1.6% on report that EU and US is confident of reaching a deal before the July 9 deadline

  • European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen told EU leaders that she’s confident EU and US can strike a deal before the July 9 deadline, Bloomberg reported citing people familiar with the matter.

  • US plans to impose 50% tariff on almost all EU imports if a deal is not reached by July 9.

  • US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said in a Bloomberg interview that EU had picked up the pace of the negotiations in recent weeks.

    “Europe has done an excellent job, they’re working hard,” Lutnick said. “I’m optimistic — I think we can get a deal now.”

  • DAX rose 1.6% following the report.

  • Volkswagen shares are up 3.0%

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-27/eu-and-us-confident-they-will-reach-tariff-deal-by-july-deadline

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Nasdaq Composite rose 0.8% after the U.S. reached a trade deal with Vietnam that will lower tariffs on Vietnamese imports to 20%, down from 46%

  • Trump said Vietnam will pay a 20% tariff on goods exported to the US and 46% tariff on any transshipping.

  • In return, US will be able to sell its goods in Vietnam at zero tariff.

  • S&P 500 futures rose 0.2% while Nasdaq composite gained 0.8% following the announcement.

  • Vietnam exported around $136.6 billion of goods to US in 2024, making it the eighth-largest trading partner of the U.S. in terms of bilateral goods trade.

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Trump said he will start sending tariff letters today and floated 10%-70% tariff rate on the trading partners

  • President Trump said he will start sending letters outlining the tariff rate to trading partners today.

  • He floated that the tariffs would range from 10% to 70%.

    “I think by the ninth they’ll be fully covered,” he said. “They’ll range in value from maybe 60 or 70% tariffs to 10 and 20% tariffs,” he added.

  • His “Liberation Day” tariffs ranged from 10% to 50%.

  • Trump said he is not considering extending the July 9 deadline.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-07-03/trump-says-he-may-start-telling-nations-new-tariff-rates-friday

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S&P 500 futures falls 0.5% after Trump threatens additional 10% tariff on countries aligning with BRICS policies

S&P 500 futures falls 0.5% while Nasdaq 100 futures lost 0.6% in reaction to his announcement.

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S&P 500 falls 0.8% after Trump announced 25% tariff on Japan and South Korea

  • Trump said he sent letters to Japan and South Korea notifying them that US will impose 25% tariff on their goods.
  • The tariffs will kick off in August 1 and will be added to any retaliatory tariff from each country.
  • Transshipped goods will also attract 25% tariff rate.
  • S&P 500 futures shed 0.8% while Nasdaq 100 lost 0.9% falling the announcement.
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Trump announces steep tariffs on five more countries starting: Kazakhstan and Malaysia (25%), South Africa (30%), Laos and Maynamar (40%).

Trump said August 1 tariff deadline won’t be extended

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German DAX index rose 1.4% on reports that EU and US are close to a tariff deal

  • German Chancellor Friedrich Merz told the Bundestag that a tariff deal could be reached in the next few days or by July-end.
  • In a separate speech, Ursula von der Leyen said she had a “good exchange” with president Trump this week.
  • German DAX Index rose 1.4% following the reports.

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S&P 500 futures falls 0.5% after Trump announces 35% tariff on Canadian imports

  • President Trump announced 35% tariff on Canadian imports, starting August 1.
  • He cited fentanyl as a reason for the tariffs and also blamed Canada’s retaliatory tariffs.
  • S&P 500 futures shed 0.5% while Nasdaq 100 futures declined 0.6% following the announcement.
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Trump announces 30% tariff on EU and Mexico

  • Trump announced 30% tariff on EU and Mexico goods, effective August 1.
  • He said if either country retaliates, US will increase the tariff by a similar amount.

Trump announces 30% tariffs on EU and Mexico

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EU threatens €75B in tariffs on U.S. goods if no deal is struck

  • European Trade Economic Security Commissioner Maros Sefcovic said EU will respond with €75 billion in counter-tariffs if a deal is not reached.
  • Sefcovic warned earlier that 30% tariff on EU goods would “effectively” end the trade between EU and US.
  • According to von der Leyen, the bloc’s powerful anti-coercion tool will remain unused at this point.
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