Advertising Markets

I=5
Dentsu forecasts global advertising spend will grow 5.1% y/y in 2026, with U.S. ad spend growing 5.0%

  • It forecasts digital advertising will grow 6.7%, with retail media ad spend growing 14.1%, online video at 11.5% and social at 11.4%.
  • According to Forrester, Dentsu manages $27 billion in media global billings.
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Do any of those new releases change your estimates and calculations in the valuation model?

No, they align with my revenue estimates.

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I=6
WPP raised their global ad spend growth rate forecast for 2025 to 8.8% in December from 6% in June

  • WPP said in December that they expect global ad spend (excluding U.S. political advertising) to grow 8.8% y/y in 2025 to $1.14 trillion, raising its forecast from 6% predicted in June.
  • It forecasts global ad spend to grow 7.1% in 2026, up from 6.1% predicted in June.
  • WPP said AI is driving ad spend since some businesses are championing cost savings from ad creation into new ad buys.
  • WPP is one of the largest advertising and marketing services companies. In 2024, it generated a revenue of £14.7 billion, with 85% of revenue coming from Global Integrated Agencies which include media placements and creative services.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/ad-spend-to-grow-more-than-expected-in-2025-as-tariffs-sting-less-and-ai-gives-a-leg-up-4b4bf9ce

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