Volkswagen Cost-Cut Measures

I=2 VW Brand

  • Volkswagen is considering ending production at its Gläserne Manufaktur plant in Dresden as part of its efforts to cut on costs, that’s according to people familiar with the matter.
  • The plant employs 300 staff and is used to manufacture ID.3 electric vehicles.
  • The annual operating cost of the plant ranges between €60 million to €70 million and is projected that ending production here will save the company around €20 million a year.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-09-17/vw-to-stop-car-production-at-dresden-plant-automobilwoche-says

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  • Volkswagen is behind schedule in defining key measures that would see it save the planned 10 billion euro ($10.5 billion), that’s according to two people familiar with the matter.
  • Volkswagen Passenger cars said in June that it will come up with measures that will enable it to achieve return to sales target of 6.5% by 2026.
  • The measures were supposed to be in place by October 2023 but are now expected to be defined by the end of the year.
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  • As part of its restructuring plan, Volkswagen plans to cut 2,000 jobs in its software unit Cariad from 2024 to 2025, Manager Magazin reported.
  • The job cuts will delay the 1.2 architecture to be used in the Audi Q6 etron and the Porsche Macan by 16-18 weeks.
  • Magazin added that the 2.0 architecture originally planned for 2025 and the new scalable systems (SSP) platform to be used in Trinity vehicle are being redeveloped.
  • A Cariad spokesperdon declined to comment on the news but said their CEO has been working on a “comprehensive transformation plan” for “repositioning” the company since summer.

https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/volkswagen-wants-cut-2000-jobs-cariad-unit-manager-magazin-2023-10-27/

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  • CEO Oliver Blume said Volkswagen is not planning another gigafactory battery site at the moment.

    “Based on market conditions, including the sluggish ramp up of the BEV market in Europe… there is for the time being no business rationale for deciding on further sites,” he said in a statement provided by Volkswagen’s Czech unit Skoda Auto.

  • Volkswagen was looking to build another battery gigafactory in eastern Europe.

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  • Volkswagen scales back external hires at its six locations in Lower Saxony and Hesse as part of its cost-cutting drives.

    “Due to the ongoing efficiency programs at Volkswagen AG, external hiring will be temporarily limited and no external positions will be advertised,” said a spokesman.

  • Only necessary tasks such as legal would be hired externally.

  • The works council is in support of the action.

    “In view of the recent efficiency efforts, it is understandable that the company is now reducing further job creation through new hires to the bare minimum,” said a spokesman. “We see this as an opportunity to advance the key issue of internal transformation in an even more concentrated manner than before.”

https://www.automobilwoche.de/agenturmeldungen/volkswagen-verhangt-einstellungsstopp-aus-kostengrunden

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  • According to Handelsblatt, Volkswagen could cut a fifth of its administrative personnel jobs as part of its cost-cutting initiative to save 10 billion euros by 2026.
  • Volkswagen Group employs 40,000 administrative personnel.
  • Volkswagen hasn’t commented on the Handelsblatt report.
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  • Volkswagen plans to achieve the benefits of its cost savings efforts as early as 2024.

    “As early as next year, we plan to achieve an impact of more than 10 billion euros for the group through our brands’ performance programs,” CEO Oliver Blume told the “Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung”.

  • However, direct impacts on the result are not expected until 2025 but should help offset the burdens next year.

    “2024 will be a very challenging year economically,” he said. “The goal is to manage the group stably so that we can get started from 2025.”

  • Blume pointed out that the cost-savings program will include staff reduction.

    “In order to increase our efficiency, it is also about reducing staff,” he said. “We use socially acceptable instruments such as the demographic curve or regulations for partial retirement.”

  • Details on the employee reductions are expected later this year.

https://www.automobilwoche.de/agenturmeldungen/sparprogramm-bei-volkswagen-oliver-blume-nennt-effizienz-ziel-fur-2024

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Wow a 10 billion dollar headwind in 2024 is a significant warning. We definitely need to get a better grip if those warnings are coming from all manufacturers across the industry.

It is obviously good to see that Volkswagen is already working on counter measures but it needs to be seen if they indeed manage to achieve those ambitious targets.

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  • Volkswagen head of human resources Gunnar Kilian also pointed out that workforce reduction would be through agreements on partial or early retirement.

  • CEO Thomas Schaffer pointed out that the brand is no longer competitive.

    “With many of our pre-existing structures, processes and high costs, we are no longer competitive as the Volkswagen brand,” Schaefer told a staff meeting at Volkswagen’s headquarters in Wolfsburg.

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  • In a memo sent by Volkswagen Brand management and seen by Reuters, the brand wants to cut its administrative costs by a fifth as part of its planned 10 billion euros savings by 2026.
  • The brand also wants to reduce product cycles to 3 years from 50 months, lower overral production times and scrap its planned 800-million-euro R&D site in Wolfsburg.
  • The staff reduction would involve partial and early retirement and not layoffs.

Assessment
Volkswagen Group incurred 11.7 billion euros in administrative expenses in 2022. The Group had 675,000 employees with Volkswagen Brand having around 200,000. That means a fifth reduction in administrative costs of the Volkswagen Brand would lead to a cost-savings of around 600 million euros, representing 0.3% and 3.1% of the Group’s total operating expenses and operating profit, respectively.

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  • Volkswagen’s struggling software unit, Cariad, has reached a deal with the union representatives to cut its internal development costs by 20% annually until 2028.

  • If the 20% target is not reached, voluntary buyouts will be offered but the timeline for the buyouts wasn’t made public.

  • Cariad employs around 6,500 employees.

    Bloomberg - Are you a robot?

Assessment

Cariad generated a revenue of 796 million euros in 2022 and incurred an operating loss of 2 billion euros. That means it incurred operating costs of about 2.8 billion euros. Hence a 20% reduction in internal development won’t be much for the Volkswagen Group which generated a revenue of 279.2 billion euros and operating profit of 22.1 billion euros in 2022.

https://www.volkswagen-group.com/en/financial-reports-volkswagen-group-15928

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  • Volkswagen Brand said it has reached an agreement with the Works Council to cut administrative costs by 20%, extend partial retirement to employees born in 1967 from January 2024 and maintain hiring freeze in an effort to achieve cost-savings and operating margin of 10 billion euros and 6.5%, respectively by 2026.
  • The program will lead to cost-savings of up to 4 billion euros by 2024.
  • Dubbed “Accelerate Forward/ Road to 6.5”, the program also aims to reduce development times from 50 to 36 months; hence saving more than one billion euros over the period covered by the planning round through to 2028.
  • Volkswagen Brand also wants to reduce the number of test vehicles by 50% leading to cost-savings of around 400 million euros per year.

Assessment
It’s good to see the company taking initiatives to improve its operating performance, especially given the 2024 macro warning they recently gave. It’s also good that they are finally releasing the cost-savings program after two months delay. 4 billion euros is equivalent to around 1.4% and 18% of the Group’s total operating cost and operating profit, respectively in 2022. However, it still remains to be seen whether the brand will implement the program within the timeline given.

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Volkswagen managers will not received the inflation bonus of 1,000 euros and a salary increase of 3.3% begining from May 1 as part of the company’s goal to cut costs.

VW cancels salary increase for managers - MarketScreener.

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  • Volkswagen Brand Board of Management will be reduced to seven members from the current eight in future, the brand said in a statement.
  • Additionally, the divisions “New Mobility” and “Technical Development” will be merged.
  • Thomas Ulbrich who has been the head of New Mobility will be transferred to China to lead development.

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  • Handelsblatt reported that Volkswagen plans to keep investing 180 billion euros between 2024 to 2028.
  • Citing three people familiar with the matter, the news agency said the investment could be reduced if certain goals of the cost cutting initiatives that are ongoing at Volkswagen Passenger Cars are met.
  • Volkswagen declined to comment on the report, saying that more information will be shared during the earnings conference call.
  • Volkswagen’s 5-year plan announced in 2023 set the investment at 180 billion euros through 2027.
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Volkswagen lowers its operating return on sales to a range of 6.5%-7.0% due to possible closure of Brussels plant

  • Due to a sharp drop in the demand for Audi Q8 e-tron, Audi is restructuring its Brussels plant, a process which may result in the closure of the plant.
  • As a result, Volkswagen Group will book a charge of €1.7 billion in the third quarter, leading to adjustment of its guidance for operating return on sales to a range of 6.5%-7.0% (previously: 7.0%-7.5%).
  • Volkswagen Group already booked a provision of €0.9 billion in the second quarter due to the deconsolidation of Volkswagen Bank Rus and planned closure of the gas turbine business of MAN Energy Solutions.

    "The Audi Q8 e-tron model family, which is currently produced at the Audi site in Brussels, is affected by a segment-specific intensified drop in demand, "Audi statement reads. “With the ramp-up of the new models on the Premium Platform Electric, the company is now seeing a drop in demand for the Q8 e-tron. This has resulted in a sharp drop in incoming orders.”

  • Volkswagen Group shares shed 2% following the report.

Assessment
The closure of the Brussels plant doesn’t mean Audi wants to discontinue Audi Q8 e-tron since it was already planning to shift the model’s production to San José Chiapa plant or China. Though only 47,000 units of Audi Q8 e-tron were delivered in 2023, the decline in its demand is a bad sign for other Volkswagen EV SUVs.

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Volkswagen Brand struggling to achieve its cost-cuts goal, Handelsblatt reported

  • Volkswagen Brand Group Core is struggling to achieve its 10 billion euros cost-cut goal due to low sales volume and missing parts, Handelsblatt reported citing people familiar with the mattter.
  • According to the sources, the brand’s cost savings effort was short of 2 to 3 billion euros in 2024.
  • The brand was targeting to achieve 4 billion euros in cost-savings in 2024.
  • Volkswagen declined to comment on the report.
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Volkswagen is offering employees up to €450,000 to leave the company, Wolfsburger Allgemeine Zeitung reported

  • Volkswagen is offering up to €450,000 to employees if they agree to retire early as part of its push to cut administrative expenses by 20%, Wolfsburger Allgemeine Zeitung reported.

  • The company has also initiated hiring freezes and frozen access to Tarif Plus, its highest paying scale group.

  • Though the company has offered partial retirement to employees born in 1967 and 1968, it is hoping that 1,500 workers born between 1961 and 1964 can also take the retirement package.

    “We must abandon the notion that one day a million vehicles a year will roll off the assembly line in Wolfsburg. We need to prepare for significantly fewer cars,” unidentified manager told the publication.

  • A Volkswagen spokesperson couldn’t comment on the specifics of the publication but said it was part of the firm’s “ambitious performance program aimed at increasing VW’s operating profit margin.”

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Volkswagen can no longer rules out factory closures in Germany, a statement reads

  • Volkswagen said it can no longer rule out factory closures in Germany in order to achieve its cost-cutting measures.

  • It said that it’s looking to close one large vehicle factory and one component plant in Germany.

    “The economic environment has become even tougher and new players are pushing into Europe,” Volkswagen CEO Oliver Blume said in a statement. “Germany as a business location is falling further behind in terms of competitiveness.”

  • Additionally, Volkswagen plans to bring to an end its employment protection program.

    “The situation is extremely tense and cannot be resolved through simple cost-cutting measures,” VW brand CEO Thomas Schäfer said.

  • Volkswagen added that a comprehensive restructuring of other brands will also be needed.

  • Daniela Cavallo, Chair of Volkswagen’s Work’s council has vowed to fight bitterly the new plans.

  • The labor representatives control half of the seats on Volkswagen’s supervisory board while the German state of Lower Saxony which normally sides with the workers control 20% stake in the company.

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What is your assessment of the impact of this? Which plants, how many jobs and which amount of cars could be affected? Would the production be increased somewhere else? What could it mean for cost savings, margins, revenue and profits?