US Nonfarm Payroll and Employment Levels

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Nonfarm payrolls rose 256,000, hotter-than-expected, causing 10-year treasury yield to rise 10 basis points

  • U.S payrolls grew by 256,000 in December, up from 212,000 (revised downwards from 227,000) and above the 164,000 forecast.
  • Unemployment rate came in at 4.1% versus expectations for it to stay steady at 4.2%.
  • Labor force participation rate remained steady at 62.5%.
  • At 0.3%, average hourly earnings was in line with expectations but down from 0.4% in November.
  • On a yearly basis, average hourly earnings fell to 3.9% from 4.0% in November.
  • Sectors with the biggest gains were education and health while mining and manufacturing were the only ones with job losses.
  • S&P 500 futures shed 1%, Nasdaq-100 futures fell 1.2%, Dow Jones futures dipped 0.8%, while 10-year Treasury yields rose 10 basis points to 4.778%, the highest since November 2023 as the report likely gives the fed a reason to halt rate cuts.

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/empsit_01102025.pdf

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