I watched the full first presidential debate between Trump and Harris.
In my opinion, both candidates have been strong rhetorically but Harris did paint a more positive, uniting vision for the future which might be compelling to people and a CNN exit poll based on a small sample size of 605 viewers indicated that she won the debate.
Overall I am getting more uncertain about the election outcome and see a 50:50 chance for both candidates (without deep research done)
I also came across an interesting 13 keys to the white house model of an historian which has been mainly right in the past who predicts a democrat win.
Just sharing it here for reference not because I necessarily think it is correct or we should focus on it. In general I like to develop proprietary/alternative models based on patterns and find it interesting to at least have a look at other models out there.
