Berenberg analyst Yasmin Steile said she doesn’t see press report about dissatisfied US customers as a sign that Sixt growth strategy in U.S has failed, but will monitor the development closely.
She maintained Sixt’s rating at a “buy” with a price target of 147 euros.
Hold, €122->€104: Stifel analyst expects Sixt’s 2024 EBT margin to decline by 1.4% year-over-year due to a drop in rental income from -5% to -8%.
Things that will cause the firm to modify its model include how quickly Sixt adjusts its costs, better rental pricing and consumer confidence recovery.
I=3
Buy, €155: Analyst Marc-Rene of Warburg Research expects Sixt to achieve its 2023 goals, addding that the solid growth is likely to continue to 2024.
I=4
Buy, €111->€117: Analyst Christian Glowa of Hauck Aufhäuser expects demand to normalize this year. He also expects prices to normalize and fall slightly though they will still be above the prepandemic levels.
Hold->Buy, €120: Analyst Michael Kuhn of Deutsche Bank thinks Sixt shares are attractive before the firm’s profit gain momentum again later this year.
He said their downgrade in July 2023 was due to expectations of negative profit momentum and used car prices headwinds.
“However, looking at Sixt’s (mid-point) EBT guidance for Q1 and FY24, the implied EBT number for the remainder of the year (Q2 to Q4) implies positive yoy growth. Also, we expect RPD momentum to flatten and then return to growth over the next 12 months,” he said.
He addded that Sixt has been able to manage residual value risks better than some of its competitors
Kuhn pointed out that escalation in Middle-East conflict could weigh on the shares in the short-term but Sixt is not directly involved in the region.
Buy, €135: Analyst Marc-Rene Tonn of Warburg Research said the new CFO demonstrated confidence with his first meeting with investors but also risk awareness. Tonn is optimistic that Sixt can increase sales and margins.
I=3
Neutral, €85->€75: Analyst Dirk Schlamp’s downgrade comes after Sixt was relegated to SDax from MDax. The DZ Bank analyst expects a further deterioration in Sixt’s earnings in Q2.
I=3
Buy, €135: Analyst Marc-Rene Tonn of Warburg Research expects Sixt to report a solid Q2. However, he pointed out that vehicle inventory costs are still at an elevated level.
Buy, €120->€135: Analyst Constantin Hesse of Jefferies remains positive on Sixt despite a sharp drop in the company’s shares. He highlighted Manheim data that showed residual values of leased vehicles stabilized in June and even improved slightly.
I=3
Buy, €120->€110: Analyst Constantin Hesse of Jefferies said the sell-off of Sixt’s shares since April was exaggerated. He pointed out that Sixt is uniquely positioned with an enormous growth lever through the US market and is fastly returning to turnaround times for its vehicle fleet.
I=5
Buy, €140->€90: Analyst Christian Obst of Baader Bank said he adjusted his valuation model mainly due to higher interest rates and almost unchanging sales or operating profit. He said he used a multiplier of 11.5 for 2026 operating profit, which is below the median of 16.5 in the past ten years. He still believe that Sixt can continue to grow sales and achieve a double-digit percentage margin.
I=3
Buy, €108->€100: Analyst Michael Kuhn of Deutsche Bank said Sixt’s profits are likely to have bottomed out in Q3. He doesn’t expect any major surprises when the company reports the figures.
I=3
Buy, €110->€100: Analyst Constantin Hesse said Sixt is an “oversold structural owner”. He said he is particularly betting on it after recent massive price corrections.
I=3
Buy, €110: Jefferies said they now see favorable conditions for mid-sized European companies after four years of below average developments. The analysts added that they see enormous valuation potential for cyclical companies since they don’t expect a “hard landing” for the economy.