Impact of Friedrich Merz government for Volkswagen

Ok let’s drill down on the effects that will most likely come from your assessment and is most impactful which is on the CO2 regulation side.

How high do you assess the likelihood that the EU will change its regulation and by when?
How do you see the trajectory of CO2 fines for Volkswagen if EU regulation is not changed? (Please link to post of the specific topic in your answer)
By how much could the EU regulation be changed? How large is the difference between the old trajectory of EU fines for Volkswagen and the new one under Friedrich Merz from your analysis? (Provide scenario calculations for the next years in both scenarios in the specific CO2 topic and link it here in your response)