China Economic Developments

Good summary of chinas economic problems in this short Ray Dalio Video.

  • Real Estate Sector is in trouble
  • Consumers are not spending money as 70% of their net-worth is tied to real estate and they got more cautious
  • Problematic for domestic business sales (?) → wages are lower
  • 83% of government spending has been done by local governments which got their money partially through land sales
  • Lenders to local governments are not getting paid (?)
  • Larger question: Will property rights be respected? “Is it still glorious to be rich?” (Or is China getting more dictatorial/communist?)
  • Technological development & innovation is still strong. Only competitor to U.S at that front
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