Automotive Industry: New Vehicle Pricing

Q2 2024 New Vehicle Prices insights from manufacturers

Summary:

  • Most automakers faced pricing challenges in Q2 2024, driven by competitive markets, excess capacity, or shifting consumer demand.
  • Companies are focusing on cost reduction efforts to maintain margins amid pricing pressures
  • Automakers are relying on new product introductions, particularly in luxury and top-end segments, to mitigate overall pricing challenges.
  • The Chinese market emerged as a key challenge for all automakers, with many referencing weaker consumer sentiment and fierce competition.
  • Managing inventory levels has been another key focus area in the current environment

VW

  • Pricing turned negative in Q2, as last year’s price gains were outweighed by higher tactical pricing in a competitive market, particularly due to supply issues with six- and eight-cylinder vehicles and model changeovers.
  • Mix was impacted by a weaker model selection, notably with lower sales of V6 and V8 engines in Audi and a weaker brand mix due to Porsche’s lower sales.
  • Volume and price mix is expected to remain stable, with a slight positive contribution from volume growth outside Chinese JVs, though mix and pricing challenges persist.
  • The mix is expected to positively contribute in the second half, but competition will remain intense.
  • The changing market conditions in China pose a significant challenge, leading the group to prioritize sustainable value creation over volume growth.
  • The main focus is on cost cutting.

BMW

  • Prices across the portfolio in 2024 are expected to remain at last year’s average level, not just Q1. Last year’s full-year average was close to €51,000, and year-to-date we are stable at that same figure.
  • In China, Q2 saw a downward trend, but we are now seeing stabilization.
  • U.S. pricing momentum remains strong, with dealership supply at 31 days, compared to 55 days for the industry and European OEMs.
  • Europe remains stable in terms of pricing.
  • Volume and mix remain positive, with pricing stabilizing.
  • BMW expects new model launches in H2 2024 to contribute positively, maintaining revenue despite global pricing pressures.
  • The balance between volume and luxury models has helped offset challenges in other segments.
  • Inventory buildup is due to new model ramp-ups, expected to normalize by year-end.

Mercedes

  • Mercedes-Benz has prioritized pricing stability over aggressively pursuing market share.
  • Lower volumes and a lighter Top-End share have impacted net pricing, along with negative pricing compared to strong pricing in Q2 2023.
  • The company aims to maintain current pricing levels, with solid ICE pricing and competitive EV pricing.
  • In China and Asia, cautious consumer sentiment is affecting luxury goods demand.
  • Mercedes-Benz has focused on profitability through operational improvements and managing input costs, helping defend pricing despite inflation and FX pressures.
  • They closely monitor U.S. inventory and leverage their agency model in Europe to ensure pricing stability.
  • By enhancing their product mix with top-end models, they aim to mitigate pricing pressures.

Stellantis

  • Pricing is flexible, not absolute. The company tries to position itself at the high end of the price band but adapts if competition lowers that band.
  • Anticipates Chinese competitors driving prices down, requiring adjustments to stay competitive and maintain margins through cost reductions.
  • In Europe, pricing pressure may be less intense due to tariffs
  • In the U.S., price pressure remains, as competitors’ results show it won’t disappear soon.
  • Customers are now expecting BEVs to be priced like ICEs, and it’s unrealistic to expect higher BEV pricing in the near future.
  • The company is open to adjusting prices and incentives as needed, without rigid strategies.
  • Inventory levels in the US were at 94 days by June, which has distorted inventories and added pricing pressure.
  • The company is launching best-in-class BEVs priced under €25,000, ready to compete with Chinese rivals.

Ford

  • Excess capacity will lead to more pricing pressure, consolidation, and partnerships, as planned.
  • The focus for EV growth is on smaller, more affordable vehicles.
  • Industry pricing is expected to drop by about 2%, driven by higher incentives, but Ford aims to offset this with top-line growth from new product launches.
  • Auction values are expected to decline in the second half, along with increased return rates.
  • Ford is on track to achieve $2 billion in efficiencies from materials, manufacturing, and freight, helping to offset higher labor and product refresh costs.

General Motors

  • Second-quarter results were driven by strong ICE performance and stable pricing, exceeding guidance.
  • The U.S. incentive gap widened, with GM running 150 basis points below the industry average in Q2.
  • Pricing increased by $300 million year-over-year, boosted by new models like the Chevrolet Traverse.
  • Guidance expects pricing to decline 1% to 1.5% in the second half, an improvement from earlier forecasts.
  • GM’s cost-reduction efforts aim to protect margins from rising input costs.
  • Expected profitability in China did not materialize, with continued challenges forecasted for the year.
  • Dealer inventory ended at 66 days, slightly higher.

I have created a tab to follow the insights, but still not sure how to structure it, for now just added like the general expectation for each company.